For years, publishers helped shape affiliate marketing into a durable revenue stream. By pairing product recommendations with SEO expertise, they turned commerce content into conversion engines. That model still drives meaningful revenue, but it is now facing severe structural headwinds, according to interviews with eight affiliate marketing experts.
The rise of AI-powered answer engines threatens publishers’ visibility in search results—long the lifeblood of their affiliate programs—and marketers are testing new affiliate channels alongside them.
As publishers grapple with changes in how audiences discover products, creators are capturing a growing share of incremental budget, according to Jamie Hamerly, marketplace director at Levanta.
“Spend is not being pulled from publishers,” she said, “but new budget is going to creators.”
Publishers face platform and pricing pressure
Publishers’ affiliate businesses have long relied on search visibility, according to Alison Rinaldi, affiliate group director at Assembly Global.
But as platforms like Google experiment with AI summaries and zero-click results, the pipeline of traffic to commerce articles is beginning to erode.
“The threat is that AI will summarize information directly and link out to purchase, bypassing the publisher entirely,” Rinaldi said.
Commission rates have also fallen. Amazon, still the largest player in the space, now offers most publishers just 2–3% commission, down from double-digit rates in earlier years, according to Rinaldi.
Amazon’s rate changes go beyond rate cuts, according to Nilla Ali, cofounder of the agency GAAN Creative.
For one, Amazon has shifted toward “seller-funded” affiliate models, where brands, rather than the platform, pay additional commissions. Amazon is also paying a higher baseline rate to creators than publishers. Creators get 10% to 15% baseline rates compared to publishers’ 2% to 3%, Ali said. Tools like Amazon’s Creator Connections program make it easier for brands to bonus influencers directly, accelerating creator adoption.
The publisher affiliate space is also crowded with “best of” lists and redundant recommendations, Rinaldi said, creating diminishing returns for marketers. Many publishers now expect flat fees or minimum spends, which don’t always align with the pay-for-performance standard of affiliate.
Some data suggests publisher revenue hasn’t yet collapsed, according to Bryce Widelitz, vice president of agency and strategic partnerships at Impact.com, which connects brands to affiliate partners. Between May and July 2025, clicks from Impact’s more than 500 media publishers declined slightly year over year, while revenue grew 22%. But that growth could stem from a variety of factors, including improved conversion rates, new brand partners, or the increased cost of goods, Widelitz said.
Some publishers are adapting by leaning into newsletters, Hamerly, the Levanta marketplace director, said, citing Vox Media and TheSkimm, and by leveraging social reach through recognizable editors acting as influencers for their brands.
Creators are becoming performance marketers
While publishers navigate platform headwinds, creators have matured into viable performance partners.
“Creators are the modern publishers,” said David A. Yovanno, CEO of Impact.com. “They’ve become performance marketers, just with different distribution channels.”
Creators are less dependent on SEO. Their audiences arrive by choice, not by search, putting them closer to purchase decisions. This has made them valuable to brands, especially as tracking tools improve.
Historically, influencer marketing was top-of-funnel, according to Tiffany Lopinsky, founder of ShopMy.
But improved tracking has made it measurable, attracting more budget and CMO attention. Affiliate is now table stakes for many creators, with platforms like ShopMy showing brands who is driving sales before committing to larger deals, according to Lopinsky.
Creators often command higher commission rates, according to Usaid Khan, vice president of strategy at Later. He said they earn, on average, 25% more than publishers, driven by stronger engagement and higher conversion rates.
Cost structures also factor in, Hamerly said. With a $50,000 budget, a brand might work with one publisher or 10 creators, each with different timelines and goals. For brands, creators offer diversification.
“They’re accessing new eyes,” she said.
Incremental spend, not replacement—yet
Marketers say creator affiliate growth is mostly additive.
“We’re not moving out of the traditional content space,” said Andrea Chong, senior director at 3Z Brands. Instead, the company is layering influencer affiliate on top of publisher partnerships, especially in categories where editorial coverage is scarce.
Still, the shift changes the competitive landscape.
“Some people still think of influencers as actors and actresses,” Lopinsky said. “They should be thinking of them as a distributed sales force.”